Halfway through vote counting: Expert analysis of what voting numbers already tell us

For those of you who are just joining us, you're watching Arirang TV's special coverage of South Korea's 21st presidential election.

It's just past 10 PM here in Seoul, and ballot counting has been underway for about two hours now.

Preliminary results are beginning to come in with exit polls showing a lead for Democratic Party candidate Lee Jae-myung.

As we continue to track how voting unfolded throughout the day and what the early numbers may signal moving forward, we're joined now by Hans Schattle, Professor of Political Science at Yonsei University. Professor, thank you for being with us at this late hour.

1.So, Professor, as we approach the halfway point in tonight's ballot counting, and early results are slowly coming in alongside exit poll results forecasting Lee Jae-myung of the DP to take 50 percent of the votes. So far what stands out to you about the day?

2. Also, something to note is that early voting this year hit 34.74 percent, the second-highest on record. We've seen both camps claim different meanings from early turnout. How should we interpret these competing narratives?

3. Lately, we saw candidates focus on specific regional strongholds during their final campaign pushes. Prof., how much do these geographic strategies still matter in South Korean elections?

4. We cannot rule out cooperation with the legislative body when speaking about politics. As of now, the Democratic Party and its allies hold around 188 seats—surpassing the 180-seat fast-track threshold. Then what does this mean for the next president's ability to govern? Also, how might this affect the balance of power between the presidency and the legislature?

5. So while the numbers in parliament will shape the president's legislative reality, the bigger picture is also about the kind of public support they walk into office with. Regardless of the winner tonight, what kind of mandate do you think this election result will give the next administration?

6. From a regional standpoint, how might the outcome of this election reshape South Korea's approach to diplomacy, especially with the U.S., China, and North Korea?

7. In your view, what will be the first real test of leadership for the incoming president—what challenge will define their opening months in office?